INDIAN BENCHMARKS 03-Aug-2015

INDIAN BENCHMARKS  are likely to open on a positive note as the global cues look supportive with SGX Nifty trading 10 points higher.                                                  

                                      

                                                          

Headlines for the day:

•  L&T Q1 margins below estimate; order inflows decline
•  ICICI Bank zooms as Q1FY16 marks healthy growth in earnings
• Sun TV Q1 net profit at Rs197 crore; stock up 9%
• Titan drops as weak jewellery sales dent Q1 performance

Results on 3^rd August

HCL TECH, ABAN OFFSHOR , HEROMOTOCO , IBULLREALESTATE , BHARAT FORGE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net  sellers of Rs  - 277.77 Cr in the cash segment on Friday while the DIIs were net buyers of Rs   1021.34 Cr, as per the provisional figures released by the NSE.

Nifty Market Trends for Today

Nifty levels:

  

Nifty spot close @8421

Nifty future close @8421

Today’s view on Nifty

 

Buy only above 8500 level, remain below that we may see more weakness, major support level will be 8300 below that level we may see fresh short position. We have seen intense volatility today; we may see now lower level buying.

Bank Nifty levels:  

Bank nifty spot close @18440

Bank nifty future close @18439

View on Bank nifty  

  

Bank nifty closed around its support level, that is 18400, we may see buying from lower level, once close above 18400, below 18400 major support levels will be 18150.

MARKET COMMENTERY

State-run banks led gains for key benchmark indices. The market sentiment was boosted by news reports that the Union Cabinet has approved amendments to the goods and services tax (GST) bill to compensate states for revenue loss for five years on introduction of the uniform nationwide indirect tax regime, as has been suggested by Rajya Sabha Select Committee. The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market was strong. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, provisionally rose 191.97 points or 0.7% to 27,755.40. Key benchmark indices hovered in positive zone throughout the trading session today, 30 July 2015. 

STOCK BUZZ

1. Index heavyweight and cigarette major ITC edged higher after the company reported Q1 June 2015 earnings. The stock rose 4.62% at Rs 318, also its day's high. The stock hit a low of Rs 300.60 in intraday trade. ITC's net profit rose 3.61% to Rs 2265.44 crore on 6.11% decline in total income to Rs 8902.71 crore Q1 June 2015 over Q1 June 2014. The result was announced during market hours today, 30 July 2015. 

2. Crompton Greaves (CG) rose 2.61% to Rs 182.90. The company announced during trading hours that it has won an important contract to supply ZIV single phase smart meters to Energias de Portugal (EDP), one of the major European operators in the energy sector. This follows another major order awarded by EDP, selecting CG as the main supplier for data concentrators. Financial details of the deal were not disclosed.

HOT PURSUIT

1. Meanwhile, the Union Cabinet yesterday, 29 July 2015, reportedly approved amendments to the goods and services tax (GST) bill to compensate states for revenue loss for five years on introduction of the uniform nationwide indirect tax regime, as has been suggested by Rajya Sabha Select Committee. The Cabinet agreed to the recommendation made by the Select Committee on compensation to states to win over support of regional parties like TMC of West Bengal and Odisha's BJD, in getting the landmark Constitution Amendment approved by the Upper House where the ruling NDA does not have a majority. The Cabinet decided that the modalities for levy of 1% tax over and above the GST rate by states as well as the ''band'' rate would be finalised while framing the rules, reports added

2. Meanwhile, India's weather office, the India Meteorological Department (IMD), said in its daily monsoon update issued yesterday, 29 July 2015, that the Southwest monsoon was vigorous over Rajasthan and Gujarat state and was active over Gangetic West Bengal during past 24 hours until 8:30 IST.

OPTION STRATEGY

1. In today’s session we have seen call buying in nifty 8400/8500 call so we can consider that nifty will show good buying in coming days.

2. ACC calls and puts were so active, we have seen heavy put writing in 1300 and 1280 puts so in near future we may 1280 level as a major support level for the stock. 

3. RELIANCE 1020/1040 calls were so active today, we have seen good rally in the stock, more rally is expected above 1000. 

STOCKS TO WATCH

TATAMOTORS:  

Sell TATAMOTORS as remain below 390 we may see 350/340 level in coming days, above 390 major resistances will be 405.

APOLLOTYRE

Buy APOLLOTYRE above 198 stock may show 210/215 level, remain below 198 more down side is expected.

CAIRN: 

Sell CAIRN below 175 we may see 162/155 levels remain below 175 levels.

TOP PICKS OF THE DAY

• BUY M&M ABOVE….? TGT…..?STOP LOSS……?

• SELL ICICI BANK BELOW…..?...TARGET….?..STOPLOSS…?

• SELL VOLTAS BELOW….? STOCK MAY SHOW 290/280 LEVEL IN COMING DAYS WITH STOP LOSS…?

Nifty Market Trends For Today

Nifty levels:  

Nifty spot close @8375

Nifty future close @8382

Today’s view on Nifty

Buy only above 8500 level, remain below that we may see more weakness, major support level will be 8300 below that level we may see fresh short position. We have seen intense volatility today, we may see now lower level buying.

Bank Nifty levels:  

Bank nifty spot close @18323

Bank nifty future close @18332

View on Bank nifty

Bank nifty closed around its support level, that is 18300, we may see buying from lower level, once close above 18300, below 18300 major support levels will be 18150.

MARKET COMMENTERY

IT stocks led gains for key benchmark indices. The market sentiment improved as crude oil prices extended recent losses. Brent crude oil futures edged lower on persistent worries about a global supply glut. The decline in crude oil prices augurs well for India. Key benchmark indices remained in positive zone throughout the trading session. The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market was positive. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, was provisionally up 105.67 points or 0.38% to 27564.90. In overseas stock markets, Chinese stocks ended higher with sharp gains in the last half-hour of trading.

STOCK BUZZ

1. Metal shares edged higher. Hindustan Zinc (up 1.73%), NMDC (up 1.05%), National Aluminum Company (up 0.98%), Steel Authority of India (up 0.95%), Hindalco Industries (up 0.66%), Tata Steel (up 0.38%) and Hindustan Copper (up 0.09%), edged higher. JSW Steel (down 0.06%), Jindal Steel & Power (down 0.07%) and Bhushan Steel (down 0.69%), edged lower.

2. Vedanta rose 0.97% to Rs 129.70. The company's consolidated profit after tax (PAT) before exceptional items fell 35% to Rs 866 crore on 1% decline in net sales/income from operations to Rs 16952 crore in Q1 June 2015 over Q1 June 2014. The result was announced at the fag end of the trading session today, 29 July 2015.

HOT PURSUIT

1. Meanwhile, India's weather office, the India Meteorological Department (IMD), said in its daily monsoon update issued yesterday, 28 July 2015, that the Southwest Monsoon was vigorous over West Rajasthan and Gujarat state and was active over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, East Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh during past 24 hours until 8:30 IST.

2. Chinese stocks edged higher with sharp gains in the last half-hour of trading. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite jumped 3.44%. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index rose 0.47%. China's securities watchdog has decided to investigate whether a coordinated dumping of shares sparked the selloff in Chinese stocks on Monday, 27 July 2015. The Shanghai Composite Index had plunged 8.5% on Monday, 27 July 2015, marking its biggest one day drop in more than eight years.

OPTION STRATEGY

1. In today’s session we have seen call buying in nifty 8400/8500 call so we can consider that nifty will show good buying in coming days.

2. ACC calls and puts were so active, we have seen heavy put writing in 1300 and 1280 puts so in near future we may 1280 level as a major support level for the stock. 

3. RELIANCE 1020/1040 calls were so active today, we have seen good rally in the stock, more rally is expected above 1000. 

STOCKS TO WATCH

TATAMOTORS:  

Sell TATAMOTORS as remain below 390 we may see 350/340 level in coming days, above 390 major resistances will be 405.

APOLLOTYRE

Buy APOLLOTYRE above 198 stock may show 210/215 level, remain below 198 more down side is expected.

CAIRN: 

Sell CAIRN below 175 we may see 162/155 levels remain below 175 levels.

TOP PICKS OF THE DAY

• BUY M&M ABOVE….? TGT…..?STOP LOSS……?

• SELL ICICI BANK BELOW…..?...TARGET….?..STOPLOSS…?

• SELL VOLTAS BELOW….? STOCK MAY SHOW 290/280 LEVEL IN COMING DAYS WITH STOP LOSS…?

BANK NIFTY AND NIFTY MARKRT TRENDS

Nifty levels:  

Nifty spot close @8337

Nifty future close @8356

Today’s view on Nifty

Buy only above 8500 level, remain below that we may see more weakness, major support level will be 8350 below that level we may see fresh short position. We have seen intense volatility today, we may see now lower level buying and short covering is expected above.

Bank Nifty levels:  

Bank nifty spot close @18282

Bank nifty future close @18328

View on Bank nifty  

Remain below 18300 more weakness is expected, though we may see short covering from lower level but below 18300 no buying.

MARKET COMMENTERY

Index heavyweight and housing finance major HDFC led losses for key benchmark indices. Shares of the housing finance major edged lower after the company reported a muted growth in bottom line in Q1 June 2015. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, was provisionally off 102.76 points or 0.37% to 27,458.62. The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market turned negative from positive in late trade. The market sentiment was edgy after the latest data showed that foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) pressed sales of Indian stocks yesterday, 27 July 2015.

STOCK BUZZ

1. HDFC fell 2.64% to Rs 1,300. The company's net profit rose 1.21% to Rs 1360.98 crore on 9.39% rise in total income to Rs 7068.28 crore in Q1 June 2015 over Q1 June 2014. The result was announced during market hours today, 28 July 2015. On consolidated basis, HDFC's net profit rose 17.69% to Rs 2204.29 crore on 13.76% growth in total income to Rs 11440.62 crore in Q1 June 2015 over Q1 June 2014.

2. Most power generation stocks declined. JSW Energy (down 7.45%), Jaiprakash Power Ventures (down 3.92%), Reliance Power (down 1.86%), GMR Infrastructure (down 1.79%), Torrent Power (down 1.16%), Adani Power (down 0.37%), Tata Power (down 0.14%), edged lower. Reliance Infrastructure (up 0.14%), CESC (up 0.26%), NHPC (up 0.27%) and NTPC (up 2.13%) edged higher.

HOT PURSUIT

1. Meanwhile, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan reportedly said yesterday, 27 July 2015, that inflation targets should not be changed every three years as that would mean changing goal posts as soon as the system starts to internalize it. The RBI governor's comments follow the release of a new draft of the proposed Indian Financial Code which suggested that inflation targets should be reset every three years following consultations between the government and the RBI. The draft also suggested setting up a seven-member monetary policy committee (MPC) which would have four members appointed by the government. An earlier proposal to give the RBI governor veto power over decisions of the MPC has also been removed.

2. Meanwhile, India's weather office, the India Meteorological Department (IMD), said in its daily monsoon update issued yesterday, 27 July 2015, that the Southwest Monsoon was vigorous over Rajasthan and Gujarat state and was active over Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha and West Madhya Pradesh during the past 24 hours until 8:30 IST.

OPTION STRATEGY

1. In today’s session we have seen call writing in nifty 8600 call so we can consider this as a strong resistance.

2. MARUTI calls and puts were so active, we have seen heavy put writing in 4200 and 4100 puts so in near future we may see selling pressure in the stock once it remain below 4200. 

3. RELIANCE 1020/1040 calls were so active today, we have seen good rally in the stock, more rally is expected above 1000. 

STOCKS TO WATCH

TATAMOTORS:  

Sell TATAMOTORS as remain below 390 we may see 350/340 level in coming days, above 390 major resistances will be 405.

CEAT

Buy CEAT above 800 stock may show 840/850 level, remain below 800 more down side is expected.

CAIRN: 

Sell CAIRN below 175 we may see 162/155 levels remain below 175 levels.

TOP PICKS OF THE DAY

1. BUY M&M ABOVE….? TGT…..?STOP LOSS……?

2. SELL ICICI BANK BELOW…..?...TARGET….?..STOPLOSS…?

3. SELL VOLTAS BELOW….? STOCK MAY SHOW 290/280 LEVEL IN COMING DAYS WITH STOP LOSS…?